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2024-12-13 04:34:47

So let's take it easy. If everyone thinks it's a place of opportunity, who is losing money? You can't play mahjong with four people, but you all win money, right?I saw the characteristics of the plate, which made me lose confidence in the height of the market, because if you look at the theme that has led the rise recently, you will find that the speculation in the market is getting more and more leftover.But! Have you thought about it? How long can this market, which is supported by this news, last? What news will there be next time? If there is no news stimulus, what can we do in the second half of December to counter various delivery dates and the effect of insufficient liquidity at the end of the year? How did you get there from the end of December 2023 to the beginning of the second year? Did many people forget it long ago?


Then I know that countless people are full of blood at the moment, empty positions are patting their thighs, Man Cang is looking forward to which villa to buy, and leeks have shouted that 4000 points is the starting point of the bull market. I'm sorry, I'm going to pour cold water on you and tell you something that I think is the truth, but you don't like it so much.What I describe as the biggest feature of this round of market is that there is no main line plate. The first wave of 3,674 points was driven by the indexes such as Guimao, Zhongzitou and Shanghai-Shenzhen 300. The second wave of high point on November 12th was the market high point of the mainstream plate set by semiconductors, new energy, military industry and brokers, while the recent market was led by small-cap topics such as robots, AI applications, game media, tourism, retail and education.I don't know if you have noticed the volume of the market in the last half month. In fact, it has not reached 2 trillion transactions for 18 consecutive trading days!


First of all, let's make my point clear. I think it's very normal to have a big rise tomorrow as long as it's not above 3500 points with the help of good news! But what I want to say is not tomorrow, but the point of view of the day after tomorrow and the next plate.There are more and more things that don't flow in, and the market is trying to dig out everything that hasn't been dug up. So if there is no main line in a market, there are no hot spots before, and new themes are still being dug up, and the turnover is still shrinking, then what will wait for the market when all the things that can be dug up in this market are dug up? It is self-evident.Compared with the previous sharp contraction, this proves the weakening of market popularity, and its essence is that many people are constantly fixed on top of one mountain and cannot move!

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